Shock survey shows Harris edging Trump in conservative Iowa

A shocking new poll claims Vice President Harris is leading Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump by three points in reliably conservative Iowa.

The final survey of the 2024 race for the White House from the famed Des Moines Register newspaper puts the Democratic nominee at 47% over Trump at 44%, in what one pollster described as a “stunning reversal” for the Republican.

“It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, the company that conducted the poll. “She has clearly leaped into a leading position.” 

Trump held a four point lead over Harris in September in the same poll, and in June had a whopping 18 point lead over President Biden, before the incumbent dropped out of the race.

The poll of 808 likely voters was done between Oct. 28 and Oct. 31, and had a margin of error of 3.4%.

National polls have consistently put the two candidates at near deadlock.

Trump won Iowa in both 2020 and 2016.

Women and independent voters appeared to be driving the late turn toward Harris in the Hawkeye State, the pollster told the outlet, with 56% of women going for the vice president and 52% of men supporting the GOP candidate.

Voters 65 and older are also backing the Democrat, with senior women going for Harris by a more than 2-to-1 margin.

More than 553,000 voters have already cast ballots in Iowa, with 220,140 Republicans showing up to vote vs 219,085 Democrats, according to the University of Florida’s Election Lab.