Election 2024

Harris has 1-point lead over Trump in North Carolina poll



Vice President Harris holds a 1-point advantage over former President Trump among registered voters in North Carolina, according to an Elon University/YouGov poll released Tuesday.

Harris earns 46 percent support to Trump’s 45 percent in the survey. The results fall well within the poll’s margin of error, rendering Harris’s slim lead statistically insignificant.

North Carolina is one of seven battleground states whose closely divided electorates put them within reach for either candidate to win. North Carolina has 16 electoral votes and most recently backed a Democrat for president in 2008, when former President Obama ran against the late Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).

As Harris closes out her second month campaigning for president, she has seen a consolidation of support among women and Black voters.

Those trends are born out in the North Carolina poll, but Harris’s lead among Black voters is significantly greater than her lead among women.

Harris earns support in the poll from 79 percent of Black voters in North Carolina, compared to 10 percent who back Trump. She earns 48 percent of women’s support, compared to 42 percent of North Carolinian women who support Trump.

Trump, meanwhile, leads Harris among white voters in North Carolina, with 55 percent support compared to her 37 percent. The margins are closer for men, too, with the former president leading Harris 49 percent support to 43 percent.

The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s North Carolina polling average depicts a close race between the two candidates, with Trump holding a 0.6-percentage point lead over Harris, 48.3 percent to 47.7 percent.

The survey was conducted Sept. 4-13, a period that included the first presidential debate between Harris and Trump.

The poll included 800 registered voters in North Carolina and had a margin of error of 3.74 percentage points.



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